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The Two Biggest Bull Markets You Might Be Missing

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Friday, June 12, 2015
Money and Markets
YOUR BEST SOURCE FOR THE UNBIASED MARKET COMMENTARY YOU WON'T GET FROM WALL STREET
The Two Biggest Bull Markets You Might Be
Missing — and How You Can Get on Board
by Mike Larson

Dear ,

Mike Larson

There are two huge bull markets going on right now. But if you listen to the mainstream media and the Wall Street crowd, you might be missing them! That has my blood absolutely boiling.

In bull market #1, the key performance benchmark has soared 51% since the end of January. That's like the Dow Industrials rocketing from 17,900 to more than 27,000!

In bull market #2, the key performance benchmark has soared 47% just since March. That's more than twice the typical move that defines a bull market ... in only three months! It's equivalent to the S&P 500 going from 2,100 to more than 3,040 between now and September.

So what are these bull markets? Interest rates and oil.

The first benchmark I'm referring to is the 10-year Treasury note yield. It just hit 2.49%, up from a low of 1.65%. That's a move of 84 basis points, or 51% measured in percentage terms.

The second benchmark is crude oil. U.S. futures prices hit $61.82 earlier this week, up from $42.03. That's a move of $19.79 per barrel, or 47%.

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If stocks were making moves like these, it would be all over the news. CNBC would be running special reports every hour, on the hour, while the Wall Street Journal would be running front page stories about all the dizzying gains investors were racking up.

Yet for some reason, these bull markets aren't meriting all that much notice or mention. And frankly, that's great news for you.

The huge bull markets going on in interest rates and oil aren't meriting much attention, and that's great news for you.

You don't want to buy when everyone and his sister are dog piling into a market and driving prices through the roof. You want to get on board when you can still buy cheaply.

Energy stocks are still trading near all-time low valuations, thanks to skepticism in the mainstream press about future oil and gas supply and demand. Since bond prices move in the opposite direction as interest rates, they're still trading relatively close to all-time highs despite the upward moves we're seeing in rates.

That means you can buy the former to profit from the unfolding bull market in energy, and you can still sell the latter to profit from the unfolding bull market in interest rates.

Or you can pursue some derivative trades. You might want to sell things like Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs), because they lose value in interest rate bull markets. Instead, you could buy healthy core banks that actually would benefit from the early phases of the move because higher rates would help restore lending profit margins.

These are precisely the kinds of things I'm recommending in my services. As always, that's where you can get precise "buy" and "sell" recommendations, profit targets, and the like.

Just remember: Both of these bull markets look to be in their relative infancy. This isn't like when Pets.com was raising tens of millions of dollars by going public in 1999, or when your barber was flipping Florida condos in the mid-2000s. That means they could have a long, long way to go – and you could get in at the early, most attractive stages.

Until next time,

Mike


The investment strategy and opinions expressed in this article are those of the author's and do not necessarily reflect those of any other editor at Weiss Research or the company as a whole.

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