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Germany's "black gold" banned by Berlin

Wednesday, October 28, 2015
Money and Markets
YOUR BEST SOURCE FOR THE UNBIASED MARKET COMMENTARY YOU WON'T GET FROM WALL STREET

Dear ,

Larry Edelson

Regardless of where you stand on climate change, one fact seems clear: When it comes to curtailing carbon emissions, there’s no such thing as a free lunch.

It’s clear, for example, that government efforts to tax and/or shut down producers of carbon fuels are harmful to those producers, their employees, their stocks and their investors.

They can also have a chilling effect on the nation’s entire economy as one energy source after another is shut down, demand for and the price of remaining energy sources naturally rises.

For nearly a century, Germany has benefitted from its vast deposits of lignite — a rock, formed by compressed peat. These deposits have helped Germany remain less dependent on imported fossil fuels and provided a cheaper source of energy for German power plants.

But the fuel that Angela Merkel once dubbed “Germany’s black gold” is now seen as the “dirtiest” in terms of carbon emissions — and with Germany struggling to meet its emissions goals, lignite’s days are now numbered.

Last week, Merkel began the German government’s assault on lignite, arranging for the closure of plants that produce 12% of the nation’s supply. It is now only a matter of time until the rest of the plants are closed down.

The timing could not be worse for two reasons:

First, in addition to curtailing lignite production and use, Germany is also on track to exit from all nuclear energy production by 2022 — a fact that will deprive the nation of yet another inexpensive — and in this case, squeaky clean — power source.

And second, even in flush economic times, the loss of a cheap energy source would adversely impact the entire economy. For a nation that is barely keeping its head above water, higher electricity costs are, in effect, a “tax” that can only cut into consumer demand as well as corporate production, profits and stock prices.

Will Germany’s war on lignite and nuclear power be the straw that breaks its economic back? Probably not. But for a nation suffering a plague of devastating economic crises, it can’t help. It is, as Pink Floyd was heard to say, “another brick in the wall.”

The fact that Germany is the only major economic engine of the European Union suggests devastating economic consequences for all 28 of the nations that make up the Union.

But bad news for Germany and the EU can be positive news for you — IF you make the right moves now.

If you make a point of owning investments that rise when the euro plunges ... that soar when European stocks crater ... and that spin off huge profits as trillions of euros in flight capital move into U.S. dollars and investments ... you are positioned perfectly to grow substantially richer in the weeks ahead.

Yours for supercycle survival and profits,


Larry Edelson

Senior Analyst, Weiss Research
Editor, Supercycle Trader

P.S. Although enrollment in my Supercycle Trader has now closed, I will continue these daily updates to help keep you abreast as this crisis continues to unfold.


The investment strategy and opinions expressed in this article are those of the author's and do not necessarily reflect those of any other editor at Weiss Research or the company as a whole.

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