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U.S. economy showing signs of cracking

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Dear ,

The ADP Research Institute released its National Employment Report yesterday, shedding some light on the true state of our economy.

Turns out, despite the recent uptick in the markets, the domestic economy is continuing to show signs of cracking. Could it mean a recession is near? If so, what should you do?

Before answering those questions, let’s look at the results of ADP’s report:

  • Overall employment grew by 182,000 last month. That was the weakest reading since July and a deceleration from September’s downwardly revised 190,000k figure. It also confirmed that we’ve downshifted from the kind of 200,000+ numbers we saw throughout 2014.
  • Manufacturing continued to struggle with another 2,000 jobs lost on the heels of last month’s 17,000-worker drop. The service sector came in stronger. But the rate of job gains there dropped to 158,000 from 182,000 in September. Financial sector growth weakened notably as did job gains in professional and business services.
  • Small businesses continue to add positions at a healthy clip. Those with 49 or fewer employees added 90,000 jobs. But large companies with at least 500 workers on their payrolls added only 29,000 jobs. That was a sharp deceleration from 101,000 in September.

So what does it all mean? I think we’re starting to see the early stages of a full-blown recession. The burden of a slower world economy and a weak energy sector, among other threats, is causing job growth to decelerate.

Combine that with dismal third quarter earnings, sluggish manufacturing and lagging consumer spending and you have the perfect recipe for a bear market.

Only time will tell of course. But in the meantime, I’m going to keep following the profit opportunities I’m uncovering all over the place, thanks to these new economic and market conditions.

That’s why I invite you to read a special report I’ve prepared for you. It explains exactly why I believe we’re in the early stages of a bear market ... and I tell you how you can go for doubling, tripling, or even quadrupling your money.

Click here to get all the details.

All the best,

Mike Larson
Editor, Interest Rate Speculator
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