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Will VW survive?

Tuesday, November 10, 2015
Money and Markets

Dear ,

Larry Edelson

It’s no secret that Volkswagen — Germany’s largest employer — is on the ropes.

In September, VW acknowledged that it had sold nearly 500,000 “clean diesel” cars in the U.S. that in fact actually pumped as much as 40 times the legal limit of nitrogen oxide into the air.

Last week VW admitted problems with other cars, bringing the total to 800,000, including some with gasoline engines.

Estimates for the cost of recalls have ranged as high as $78 billion — and that may be only the beginning of VW’s nightmare.

Now VW dealers are in full revolt. Not only do they have a massive number of cars they can’t sell, they have to deal with hundreds of thousands of angry customers who are demanding restitution.

The additional costs to the company are staggering: It is increasing discounts on its new 2016 models by up to 70%. To customers who own its diesel vehicles, it is giving away $500 cash, $500 in dealership credits and three years of free roadside assistance.

None of this of course even begins to mollify the company’s dealers who face almost certain extinction barring a miracle.

And the company hasn’t even begun to address the problem of fixing the 800,000 affected vehicles.

All of this is made even more terrifying to Angela Merkel’s government due to the fact that Volkswagen, Germany’s #1 employer, is much more than a single car brand. The company also produces Audi, Bentley, Bugatti, Lamborghini, Porsche, Ducati and four more automotive brands.

Trouble at VW spells major trouble for Berlin as the German government continues to struggle with a weak economy, plunging exports, struggling banks and a refugee crisis that threatens to break the budget.

Worst of all, Germany is the Union’s only hope if it is to bail out Greece and other heavily indebted EU nations and keep the Union together in one piece.

This is the kind of chaos supercycles bring with them ... the kind of chaos I’ve been warning you about since last July ... the kind of chaos I told you would begin in earnest in October.

Now it’s here. It’s pushing Europe to the brink. It is crushing the euro and European stocks. And it is driving billions of euros into the U.S. dollar and U.S. stocks just as I told you it would.

This is why a recent study by Weiss Research found that many supercycle investments — things that soar as the euro and European stocks sink — have already posted gains of up to 1,200% and more and they’re just getting started.

Those investments include ETFs and more high-powered vehicles that soar when the euro plunges ... that explode higher when European stocks crater ... and that spin off huge profits as trillions of euros in flight capital move into U.S. dollars and investments.

Yours for supercycle survival and profits,

Larry Edelson

Senior Analyst, Weiss Research
Editor, Supercycle Trader

P.S. Although enrollment in my Supercycle Trader has now closed, I will continue these daily updates to help keep you abreast as this crisis continues to unfold.

The investment strategy and opinions expressed in this article are those of the author's and do not necessarily reflect those of any other editor at Weiss Research or the company as a whole.

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