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Weekly ETF Report: The Jobs Report is a Green Light

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 Fabian's Weekly ETF Report |  |  Weekly ETF Report  |  Successful ETF Investing 12/04/2015
In This Issue:
  • Podcasts
  • The Jobs Report is a Green Light
  • ETF Talk: Find Stability with This Consumer Staples Fund
  • The Best ETF Ideas for 2016
  • Jefferson on Debt
By: Doug Fabian | Editor, Successful ETF Investing | President, Fabian Wealth Strategies
The Jobs Report is a Green Light
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The economy added 211,000 net new jobs in November. That’s a solid number, one that's and better than expectations calling for about 200,000 new jobs.

So, what does the November employment data really mean? It means a green light for the Fed to hike interest rates.

Prior to today’s jobs report release, the markets had basically priced in a 25-basis-point increase in the cost of capital beginning on Dec. 16, when the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) renders its decision on rates. Now that the jobs number is in, and stronger than anticipated, the first hike in the Fed Funds rate in more than nine years is almost certain.

Oh, and in case you were wondering what the market thinks of this situation, consider that midway through Friday’s trading, the Dow Jones Industrial Average was up more than 340 points, or nearly 2%!


I’ve been writing about interest rates, the Fed and the ramifications of rising interest rates for most of this year, both in this publication and in my Successful ETF Investing newsletter.

One theme I have repeated throughout is that contrary to the warnings of many fearmongers out there, a rate hike is not the end of the world for markets. In fact, a rate hike here is GOOD for stocks, as it gives the market a sense of certainty on what the Fed is doing.


A rate hike also can be seen as a vote of confidence by Janet Yellen and company that the economy and the markets can handle a slight bump in rates.

One major thing to keep in mind here is that global interest rates are at or near historic lows, and that’s not about to change because the Fed hikes a quarter percentage point. In fact, the chart above of the 10-Year Treasury Note yield, Japan's 10-year yield and German 10-year yield shows that global interest rates are very, very low and likely to stay that way well into 2016 and beyond.

The bottom line is that judging by the reaction today in stocks, as well as the larger trend in long-term interest rates, investors like the idea that the Fed now has a green light to hike rates in December.

You’ll Never Guess Who’s About to Crash the DOW
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ETF Talk: Find Stability with This Consumer Staples Fund

The SPDR Consumer Staples Select Sector ETF (XLP) is a fund comprised of companies whose products and services are virtually essential for everyday life in the 21st century. Included in the consumer staples sector are companies involved in food and retailing, food products, personal products, tobacco and beverage making.

Such publicly traded companies often are called “defensive” stocks because they tend to maintain a more stable price than stocks in other sectors during a bear market. While consumers may choose to save money by not buying unnecessary luxury items, there is a constant need for products that are required for everyday living, regardless of market conditions. In addition, “sin stocks” such as tobacco and alcohol, also covered under Consumer Staples because they see similarly inelastic demand, may rise in price during this time.

View the current price, volume, performance and top 10 holdings of XLP at

As shown below, XLP has remained relatively stable throughout the turbulent markets of 2015. It currently is up 2% year to date -- and nearly 9% since a brief dip in late August. In addition, it offers a solid 2.5% dividend yield, with consecutive payout increases every quarter of 2015 so far. It sports an expense ratio of only 0.15% and more than $8 billion in assets managed.


Nearly two-thirds of XLP’s assets are contained in its top 10 holdings, which include several prominent food retailers and supply stores. Procter and Gamble (PG) is XLP’s largest holding, with 11.57% of total assets. Next, 9.26% and 7.66% of assets, respectively, are invested in soda giant Coca-Cola (KO) and tobacco producer Philip Morris International (PM). Other top holdings include CVS Health Corporation (CVS), with 6.32%, and Altria Group (MO), with 5.99%.

If you want to have peace of mind at night when you think about the stability of your investments, then the SPDR Consumer Staples Select Sector ETF (XLP) may be a good fund to check out.

View the current price, volume, performance and top 10 holdings of XLP at

If you want my advice about buying and selling specific ETFs, including appropriate stop losses, please consider subscribing to my Successful ETF Investing newsletter.

As always, I am happy to answer any of your questions about ETFs, so do not hesitate to send me an e-mail. You just may see your question answered in a future ETF Talk.

Cuba’s “Furious Decade” Starts Now
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The Best ETF Ideas for 2016

Over the past two weeks, we’ve covered what I think are the best exchange-traded fund (ETF) ideas for 2016 for growth investors and income investors.

Here’s a quick review of all 10 ETFs on our list.

Growth ETFs

1) Health Care Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLV). Healthcare is an industry that continues benefitting from demographics, innovation, mergers and acquisitions (M&A) and insurance mandates. XLV is the ETF that holds the biggest and best healthcare stocks around.

2) First Trust Dorsey Wright Focus 5 ETF (FV). This is a “fund of funds” that simultaneously holds other funds that have allocations to top-performing sectors. Biotech, Internet, consumer staples, consumer discretionary and healthcare all are part of this fund.

3) PureFunds ISE Cyber Security ETF (HACK). This is the cybersecurity stock ETF, one that we’ve written about extensively in this publication, as well as in the Successful ETF Investing newsletter. We also recently conducted a FREE webinar on HACK, which I encourage you to check out before you start making investment decisions in 2016.

4) iShares India 50 ETF (INDY). India is a country that has a pro-capitalist political climate, a huge amount of human capital and citizens hungry for economic growth and an enhanced living standard. INDY is a way to get exposure to the companies benefitting most from these trends.

5) WisdomTree Japan Hedged Equity Fund (DXJ). Japan continues to put the pedal to the metal on “Abenomics,” which means more quantitative easing from the Bank of Japan and likely more upside for Japanese stocks. And, with DXJ’s hedge component, you get that performance without the negative influence of any currency disparities.

Income ETFs

1) SPDR DoubleLine Total Return Tactical ETF (TOTL). This bond fund is actively managed by the “New Bond King,” Jeffrey Gundlach of DoubleLine Capital, and it takes advantage of the best bonds in the market. The fund invests across global fixed-income sectors with an eye toward shorter-duration bonds.

2) iShares US Preferred Stock (PFF). This fund gives you exposure to the best preferred stocks in the market. These hybrid securities are sort of like stocks and sort of like bonds, as they tend to move higher with the equity markets while also delivering strong yields.

3) PowerShares CEF Income Composite ETF (PCEF). This ETF “fund of funds” gives you exposure to the closed-end fund market. That market consistently has delivered outstanding yields for income-oriented investors.

4) iShares US Real Estate ETF (IYR). Real estate investment trusts (REITs) are a fantastic tool for generating yield. In this fund of funds, you get broad-based exposure to the best REITs operating in the market today.

5) iShares Select Dividend ETF (DVY). This is the best ETF for exposure to the biggest and arguably the best dividend-paying stocks in the market today. DVY gives you a very solid yield along with the upside potential of the broader equity markets.

If you want more ideas, including which funds we’re buying right now, then I invite you to check out my Successful ETF Investing newsletter today!

Jefferson on Debt

“Never spend your money before you have earned it.”

-- Thomas Jefferson

Just because the world is awash in debt doesn’t mean you have to be. To avoid being a virtual slave to your creditors, I recommend acting in accordance with the Jeffersonian principle elucidated in the above quote.

Wisdom about money, investing and life can be found anywhere. If you have a good quote you’d like me to share with your fellow readers, send it to me, along with any comments, questions and suggestions you have about my audio podcast, newsletters, seminars or anything else. Ask Doug.

In case you missed it, I encourage you to read my e-letter column from last week about my best ideas for income investors in 2016. I also invite you to comment in the space provided below my Eagle Daily Investor commentary.

All the best,
Doug Fabian
Doug Fabian
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