Spamdex - Spam Archive

Report spam

Send in your spam and get the offenders listed

Create a rule in outlook or simply forward the spam you receive to

Also in

The Global Guru: 2015: A Textbook Year for Mr. Market's Mood Swings

If you are on a mobile device or cannot view the images in this message view this email in your web browser.
To ensure future delivery please add to your address book or contacts.

Facebook Facebook

2015: A Textbook Year for Mr. Market’s Mood Swings

FREE REPORT: 7 Cheap and Good Stocks to Buy Right Now

Our experts just uncovered 7 stocks expected to deliver profits of 100% or more before the end of the year. Stock #2 is a leader in "connected car" technologies. Stock #6 is a medical device company that developed the world's smallest heart pump. The complete list of stocks is right here (including all the profit details).

These are 7 good companies that are suddenly cheap... creating incredible opportunities for bargain hungry investors. Click here for the ticker symbols.

Click Here Now!

After the worst start to a year in U.S. stock market history, markets have spent the last five weeks bouncing strongly. The S&P 500 is 13.06% off of its lows, and the MSCI Emerging Markets Index has soared an eye-popping 23.51% since Jan. 20. Oil has recovered more than 38% since bottoming on Feb. 11.

It was only five weeks ago that I was reassuring investors not to exit the market altogether. After all, studies have repeatedly shown than we tend to exit at precisely the wrong time.

Today, that advice looks like it has proven correct once again.

Putting Mr. Market on the Couch

Market mavens such as Warren Buffett know that much of the "current state of the market" is one giant psychological Rorschach test.

What we see says more about us than what is actually there.

Whether you’re Goldman Sachs or Harry Dent, most of financial punditry is about shoehorning real world events into pre-existing rational explanations -- and then justifying them after the fact with the benefit of 20/20 hindsight.

It’s an exercise that Nassim Nicholas Taleb, author of the classic book “The Black Swan,” calls a "narrative fallacy."

Although investors do this on a daily basis, today we know that there is real science behind Mr. Market’s mood swings.

And it's science that trumps even the Nobel Prize-winning intellectual tenets of modern finance.

The Science of Behavioral Finance

Tell a street-smart trader that you’ve just learned that the market is driven almost entirely by fear and greed, and I'm willing to bet he’ll look at you with a combination of pity and disdain.

Meet Cassandra (she could make you rich)
It’s the powerful, predictive secret of the FBI, CIA, NSA, MI6, Israeli Intelligence, Google, Amazon, Lifelock, pro sports teams and more… And right now -- right here -- it’s finally available to everyday investors like you. We call it “Cassandra,” after the famous prophet of Greek mythology.

But when you start using it to score triple-digit wins of up to 528%, you’ll call it “the most incredible thing that ever happened to your portfolio.” To find out what the heck I’m talking about, just click here (there’s no obligation).

Click Here Now!

After all, traders do little else than pay attention to the market’s mood swings.

Academics have labelled this "Behavioral Finance" -- the discipline based on psychological experiments done in cognitive science and the psychology of decision making.

Here’s the basic message: Humans have natural decision-making biases that make it difficult to win in the markets.

See if you recognize yourself in any of these categories:

Confirmation bias -- You have the tendency to search for or interpret new information in a way that confirms your own preconceptions. You avoid information and interpretations that contradict your prior beliefs.

Gold bugs read gold bug newsletters; tech mavens stick with “story stocks” that offer a limitless future; doom-and-gloomers always seek facts to confirm that the world is on the precipice of economic collapse.

Need-to-Understand Bias -- You have to understand what is going on with the markets better than the guy next to you. All that you need now is to buy that new secret "system" and you’ll gain the insight that you need to become a market guru. And since there are thousands of systems out there, it’s just a question of finding the right one. Just keep trying.

Need-to-be-Right Bias -- You do a detailed analysis of the company, using all the analytical tools at your disposal. You have a Wharton MBA and 20 years of experience in the sector, so you are smarter than the market. You want to be "right" 90% of the time. After all, that’s what it took to get an "A" in school…

Degree of Freedom Bias -- You have an engineering background which has helped you design the perfect trading system. You think that the more rules your system has, the more intricate the analysis, the better the decision-making process -- the more likely it is that you’ll crack the code of the market. Profitable trading is simply about hacking the market with the right set of tools. You’ve back-tested your system, and your software confirms that you would have made 200% last year. But somehow, reality doesn’t work that way.

#3 on this List Will Surprise You (World’s Most Powerful Financial Forces)
Recently, I was handed a piece of research from a trusted colleague, who just spent months compiling multi-sourced data with the goal of pinpointing the world’s most powerful “financial forces.” As expected, the U.S. and China rank #1 and #2… but when I read #3, I had to do a double-take.

It wasn’t Germany, or Japan or any other country for that matter. It was a single company! If this research was correct, this could be one of the true stealth plays of 2016, and the stock to be in for decades to come. Click here now for the full story.

Click Here Now!

There are many more of these kind of biases. For example, the "Lotto bias," the "Gambler’s Fallacy" and the "Reliability bias." All of these reflect the way you make decisions both personally and as part of a crowd.

Mr. Market Versus Homo Economicus

What do all these "biases" have in common?

They reject homo economicus -- that perfectly rational actor in the current paradigm of modern finance.

Homo economicus is the man you meet in every finance textbook in the world.

Yet, like Big Foot, no one has ever met him in real life.

The reason he’s so elusive is because unlike you and me, when this guy invests, he’s:
  1. unaffected by fear and greed.
  1. got perfect information on everything.
  1. knows that everything in the market fits into a normal distribution curve, i.e., that market crashes like 1987 and financial blowups like 1998 and 2000 only happen every 17,000 years or so.
Now for anyone not schooled in Nobel Prize-winning modern financial theory, it i obvious that homo economicus is a figment of someone’s imagination.

But it took a non-economist like Daniel Kahneman, the psychologist who won the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2002, to convince economists of that bit of insight.

As Kahneman pointed out, he was the only person who had won the Nobel Prize without ever having taken a course in economics.

But perhaps no genius expressed his frustration with financial markets better than the father of classical physics, Sir Isaac Newton, who, after losing his fortune in the South Sea Bubble of 1720 observed:

"I can calculate the motion of the heavenly bodies but not the madness of crowds."

No doubt, Sir Isaac would say the same about today's markets.

I encourage you to read my e-letter column from last week on the world's most economically powerful cities in 2016. I also invite you to comment in the space provided below my Eagle Daily Investor commentary.

Nicholas Vardy
Nicholas A. Vardy
Editor, The Global Guru

Subscribe to my Newsletter and Trading Services.
Follow me on Twitter.
Check out my Blog.
To ensure future delivery of Eagle Financial Publication's emails please add the domain to your address book or contact list.

This email was sent to because you are subscribed to the Nicholas Vardy's The Global Guru List. To unsubscribe or update your delivery preferences, please click here.

If you have questions, please send them to Customer Service.

Eagle Financial Publications - Eagle Products, LLC. - a Caron Broadcasting Company
300 New Jersey Ave. NW, Suite 500 | Washington, D.C. 20001

© 2015 Eagle Financial Publications. All rights reserved.


All titles, content, publisher names, trademarks, artwork, and associated imagery are trademarks and/or copyright material of their respective owners. All rights reserved. The Spam Archive website contains material for general information purposes only. It has been written for the purpose of providing information and historical reference containing in the main instances of business or commercial spam.

Many of the messages in Spamdex's archive contain forged headers in one form or another. The fact that an email claims to have come from one email address or another does not mean it actually originated at that address! Please use spamdex responsibly.

Yes YOU! Get INVOLVED - Send in your spam and report offenders

Create a rule in outlook or simply forward the junk email you receive to | See contributors

Google + Spam 2010- 2017 Spamdex - The Spam Archive for the internet. unsolicited electric messages (spam) archived for posterity. Link to us and help promote Spamdex as a means of forcing Spammers to re-think the amount of spam they send us.

The Spam Archive - Chronicling spam emails into readable web records index for all time

Please contact us with any comments or questions at Spam Archive is a non-profit library of thousands of spam email messages sent to a single email address. A number of far-sighted people have been saving all their spam and have put it online. This is a valuable resource for anyone writing Bayesian filters. The Spam Archive is building a digital library of Internet spam. Your use of the Archive is subject to the Archive's Terms of Use. All emails viewed are copyright of the respected companies or corporations. Thanks to Benedict Sykes for assisting with tech problems and Google Indexing, ta Ben.

Our inspiration is the "Internet Archive" USA. "Libraries exist to preserve society's cultural artefacts and to provide access to them. If libraries are to continue to foster education and scholarship in this era of digital technology, it's essential for them to extend those functions into the digital world." This is our library of unsolicited emails from around the world. See Spamdex is in no way associated though. Supporters and members of Helping rid the internet of spam, one email at a time. Working with Inernet Aware to improve user knowlegde on keeping safe online. Many thanks to all our supporters including Vanilla Circus for providing SEO advice and other content syndication help | Link to us | Terms | Privacy | Cookies | Complaints | Copyright | Spam emails / ICO | Spam images | Sitemap | All hosting and cloud migration by Cloudworks.

Important: Users take note, this is Spamdex - The Spam Archive for the internet. Some of the pages indexed could contain offensive language or contain fraudulent offers. If an offer looks too good to be true it probably is! Please tread, carefully, all of the links should be fine. Clicking I agree means you agree to our terms and conditions. We cannot be held responsible etc etc.

The Spam Archive - Chronicling spam emails into readable web records

The Glass House | London | SW19 8AE |
Spamdex is a digital archive of unsolicited electronic mail 4.9 out of 5 based on reviews
Spamdex - The Spam Archive Located in London, SW19 8AE. Phone: 08000 0514541.