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07/24/2015: A Weak Week in Equities

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Fabian's Weekly ETF Report
Fabian.com |  Weekly ETF Report  |  Successful ETF Investing 07/24/2015
In This Issue:
  • Video AlertVideoCamera
  • Podcasts
  • A Weak Week in Equities
  • ‘ETF Success with Doug Fabian’ Goes National!
  • ETF Talk: Mix-And-Match Sector Fund Boosts Performance
  • ETF University: Learning the Lingo (Parts I, II)
  • On Thinking Big
By: Doug Fabian | Editor, Successful ETF Investing | President, Fabian Wealth Strategies
A Weak Week in Equities
You’ll Never Guess Who’s About to Crash the DOW
Don’t believe all of the rhetoric you’re hearing about President Obama’s “clueless” leadership… he knows exactly what he’s doing. His hidden agenda is slowly but surely coming to fruition behind the backs of the American people.

The worst part: the success of this “master plan” relies on a massive stock market crash! Click here now for the urgent exposé that could save your portfolio from the inevitable.

Click Here Now!

****************************************
Note from the Publisher

For all of you dividend fans out there, I am thrilled to announce that we have added www.DividendInvestor.com to the Eagle family of products. With screening tools, an all-star ranking of dividend stocks, the best dividend calendar on the web, personalized alerts and more, this site is a great complement to our investment products. Check it out today… go to www.DividendInvestor.com now!

Roger Michalski
Publisher, Eagle Financial Publications
****************************************

Stocks faltered this week, as the S&P 500 slumped about 1.6% (through midday Friday). The weak week was a far cry from where stocks stood seven days ago, when the S&P 500 enjoyed a 2.4% surge.

After vaulting to new highs last Friday, I was expecting stocks to give back and consolidate. What I wasn’t expecting was the rather tepid earnings we’ve seen from many big companies such as IBM (IBM), United Technologies (UTX) and Verizon (VZ).

Of course, earnings on the whole have been decent. Although not yet technically over, the majority of really important earnings have come in, and here we see that of the 171 S&P 500 companies that have reported, 77% are beating earnings per share (EPS) estimates. Those EPS beats are, on average, about 5%. On the revenue side, only about half of the companies have beaten estimates, while about half have fallen short.

Interestingly, the market has been held up largely by a few big tech stocks making new all-time highs. Stocks such as Google (GOOGL), Amazon.com (AMZN), Facebook (FB) and Netflix (NFLX) are carrying the indices of late.

At this point, I think earnings are largely a known quantity, and now traders are focusing on pending uncertainties such as the Fed’s next move. Will there be a rate hike in September? The Fed Funds Futures are not pricing one in, but many on Wall Street are expecting a hike.

And what about the recent tumble in gold, oil and emerging markets?

GLD_072415

OIL_072415

eem_072415

What will the fallout be of these events on U.S. markets?

The bevy of unknowns here is one reason why we are holding cash positions at the highest levels of the year in our newsletter portfolios.

The way we see it, there is no rush to get into equities here. The markets are replete with uncertainty right now, and the path of least resistance appears like it’s lower from here.

If you have money on the sidelines right now, then that’s not a bad place to keep it, in my opinion. Of course, that doesn’t mean there aren’t opportunities out there to put money to work.

For more on what we like right now, including how our subscribers are taking advantage of those opportunities, check out my Successful ETF Investing newsletter today!


Why the Fed Doesn’t Matter…
For most investors, the Fed’s next move means everything. If they raise rates, bonds could get crushed, dividend stocks could be abandoned and even "safe money" treasuries could take a beating. That's why I want to share something different with you today.

It's a particular way of investing that's been proven to deliver unexpectedly large returns, with a success rate far above any traditional strategy. This technique has worked during every type of market disruption, but there is one “key” to making it work. To find out how to do it properly -- and potentially take your investment success rate above 90% -- just click here now.

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‘ETF Success with Doug Fabian’ Goes National!

Are you a regular listener to my radio show, “ETF Success with Doug Fabian”?

If not, then I hope you soon will be, and here’s your chance.

Today, I am very excited to announce that my weekly radio show is now syndicated nationally throughout the Salem radio network.

The table below shows the station, city and day and time the show will be aired (check your local listing for start dates, as not all stations carry the show yet).

WAFS-AM Business Radio 1190 Atlanta Sundays 6:00 am
WGKA-AM AM 920 The Answer Atlanta Sundays 10:00 am
WHK-AM AM 420 The Answer Cleveland Sundays 6:00 am
WTOH-FM 89.8 FM The Answer Columbus Sundays 5:00 pm
KVCE-AM AM 1160 The Business Authority Dallas Sundays 2:00 pm
WDTK-AM News Talk 1400 Detroit Sundays 8:00 am
KGU-AM AM 760 Business Radio Honolulu Wednesdays 2:00 pm
KNTH-AM AM 1070 The Answer Houston Weekdays 9:00 pm
KHTE-FM 96.5 FM The Answer Little Rock Saturdays 8:00 am
WGTK-AM AM 970 The Answer Louisville Saturdays 7:00 am
WZAB-AM AM 880 Business Radio Miami Sundays 2:00 pm
KYCR-AM AM 1570 Business Radio Minneapolis Sundays 6:00 am
WNYM-AM AM 970 The Answer New York Sundays 4:00 pm
WBZW-AM AM 1520 Business Radio Orlando Saturdays 8:00 am
WNTP-AM News Talk 990 AM Philadelphia Sundays 9:00 am
KKNT-AM 960 AM The Patriot Phoenix Saturdays 5:00 am
WPGP-AM AM 1250 The Answer Pittsburgh Saturdays and Sundays 5:00 pm
KSAC-FM Money 105.5 FM Sacramento Saturdays 9:00 am
KLUP-AM AM 930 The Answer San Antonio Saturdays 6:00 pm
KCBQ-AM AM 1170 The Answer San Diego Sundays 3:00 pm
KDOW-AM AM 1220 Business Radio San Francisco Sundays 8:00 am
KKOL-AM AM 1300 Business Radio Seattle Wednesdays 3:00 pm
KLFE-AM AM 1590 The Answer Seattle Saturdays 1:00 pm
WGUL-AM AM 860 The Answer Tampa Saturdays 5:00 pm
WWRC-AM AM 1260 The Answer Wash. DC Sundays 4:00 pm


The syndication of “ETF Success with Doug Fabian” is something I’ve been looking forward to for some time, and it’s a dream come true for me.

I hope you’ll join me in living this dream each week, on the station, day and time near you.

ETF Talk: Mix-And-Match Sector Fund Boosts Performance

We round out our review of the top three best-performing U.S. equity exchange-traded funds (ETFs) of 2015’s first half with the bronze medalist. This fund’s strategy, which differs from the approaches of the two funds that beat it, shows that exceptional returns did not accrue in just one way. However, all three of these strong-performing funds focus on momentum investing. First Trust Dorsey Wright Focus 5 ETF (FV) provides exposure to five different sector funds.

This fund considers sector strength algorithmically, including a calculation based on momentum, the key theme that ties together the top three funds for the half. It rebalances the funds in its holdings on a weekly basis.

As you can see in the chart below, this fund has been increasing steadily in value for some time. It offers a 0.15% dividend yield that may help offset the 0.94% current cost of ownership. Current total assets for the fund are more than $4.2 billion. FV’s performance through the first half of the year was 10.43%, and it has continued to make gains. This fund is up 14.14% year to date.

fv_072415

Current holdings for FV include the First Trust NYSE Arca Biotechnology Index Fund (FBT), 26.78%; First Trust Health Care AlphaDEX Fund (FXH), 20.76%; First Trust Dow Jones Internet Index Fund (FDN), 18.89%; First Trust Consumer Staples AlphaDEX Fund (FXG), 17.18%; and First Trust Consumer Discretionary AlphaDEX Fund (FXD), 16.28%.

If you like First Trust’s track record of choosing the right sectors at the right times to produce results, First Trust Dorsey Wright Focus 5 ETF (FV) could be worth considering for your own portfolio.

If you want my advice about buying and selling specific ETFs, including appropriate stop losses, please consider subscribing to my Successful ETF Investing newsletter. As always, I am happy to answer any of your questions about ETFs, so do not hesitate to send me an e-mail. You just may see your question answered in a future ETF Talk.


Yields Up to 15.6% with these High-Yield Havens
A recent poll found that 92% of Americans believe there’s a retirement crisis, and it’s not hard to understand why. With the cost of living skyrocketing while Social Security and pensions shrink, many people who dreamt of retiring in their 50s or 60s now realize they’ll have to work well into their golden years just to make ends meet.

But luckily for them, one analyst has just released a brand new report that details four “high-yield havens” that offer the chance at consistent, double-digit income. Click here now to learn their names and how to play them for gains of up to 15.6%!

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ETF University: Learning the Lingo (Parts I, II)

Exchange-traded funds have come a long way during the past several years, yet despite how far they’ve come, I still encounter many investors who aren’t familiar with some of the basic terms and lingo associated with ETFs.

The lack of solid foundational knowledge when it comes to ETFs is something we’ve moved to correct with our ETF University at the ETFU.com website.

During the past couple weeks, we’ve gone back to basics so that we all are on the same page when it comes to “speaking ETF,” learning the basic ETF lingo that’s crucial to further your understanding of these most excellent investment vehicles.

The following are the top 10 key terms and concepts that you must become familiar with if you are going to invest using ETFs.
  1. ETF Expense Ratio: This is the cost of ownership in a given ETF. Basically, this is what it costs an investment company to manage the fund. Expense ratios in ETFs are far less, on average, than they are in mutual funds. The cost efficiency with ETFs is one of their most-attractive attributes.
  2. Leveraged ETFs: These ETFs employ futures and options contracts on a particular sector or index in the pursuit of a specific performance goal. Some leveraged ETFs are designed to deliver twice the daily results of the underlying index, while others are designed to deliver three times the daily performance. These funds should be used sparingly, as they are more volatile than non-leveraged ETFs.
  3. Inverse ETFs: Funds that are designed to deliver the opposite of an index’s performance. For example, if an index falls 2% during a given trading session, an inverse ETF should rise 2%. Inverse funds are usually used during bear markets, as they allow investors to profit from falling equity or bond prices.
  4. Country-Specific ETFs: Funds that hold equities based only in a specific country. The focus of these funds means you get targeted exposure to that country’s equity market.
  5. Currency-Hedged ETFs: These are ETFs that use currency futures to help hedge out the influence of currency fluctuations on their underlying holding’s performance. These funds work well when country-specific funds have a struggling currency.
  6. Market-Cap-Weighted ETFs: These are ETFs that follow the traditional market-capitalization-weighted indexes like the S&P 500. Companies with the largest market capitalizations will have the highest weights in the index, and thus the highest allocations in a specific ETF. The opposite here is an Equal-Weight ETF, which invests in each component of an index equally.
  7. Long/Short ETFs: Funds that employ a strategy of going long one sector while shorting another. The strategies here can be complex, or relatively simple, depending on the fund. Traditionally, long/short ETFs have offered lower volatility and a lower correlation to the major domestic markets.
  8. Developed Market ETFs: These are funds that invest solely in the developed world’s equity markets, e.g. the euro zone, the United Kingdom and the United States.
  9. Emerging Market ETFs: These funds invest only in emerging market countries, specifically China, Brazil, India, Russia and many others.
  10. Frontier Market ETFs: This segment of the ETF market invests in very small, undeveloped countries that typically are much riskier than emerging markets. Sometimes referred to as “pre-emerging market countries,” they include nations such as Argentina, Egypt and Nigeria.
For more information regarding all things ETFs, check out ETFU.com.

On Thinking Big

“You have to think anyway, so why not think big?”

-- Donald Trump

Nobody’s grabbing more headlines these days than Donald Trump. Love him or hate him, the man knows how to make a splash. In this quote, he also gives us some sound advice on success, urging us to think big no matter what.

Wisdom about money, investing and life can be found anywhere. If you have a good quote you’d like me to share with your fellow Weekly ETF Report readers, send it to me, along with any comments, questions and suggestions you have about my audio podcast, newsletters, seminars or anything else. Ask Doug.

In case you missed it, I encourage you to read my e-letter column from last week on Eagle Daily Investor about the recent tech stock surge. I also invite you to comment in the space provided below my Eagle Daily Investor commentary.

All the best,
Doug Fabian
Doug Fabian
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