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Weekly ETF Report: Caution in the Hot Zone

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 Fabian's Weekly ETF Report
Fabian.com |  Weekly ETF Report  |  Successful ETF Investing 08/07/2015
In This Issue:
  • Video AlertVideoCamera
  • Podcasts
  • Caution in the Hot Zone
  • ‘ETF Success with Doug Fabian’ Goes National!
  • ETF Talk: Small-Cap Dominance with International Dividends
  • Wisdom from London
By: Doug Fabian | Editor, Successful ETF Investing | President, Fabian Wealth Strategies
Caution in the Hot Zone
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It’s August, and it’s hot in my hometown here in Southern California. It’s even hotter in Las Vegas, where I’m writing to you today while attending a business conference. Actually, the high temperatures surrounding me lately reminded me of the heat in the markets this time of year, which is something I call the “hot zone.”

The term "hot zone" refers to August, September and October, traditionally months where equity markets tend to do poorly when compared with the rest of the year. August usually sees a lack of activity due to summer vacations and the end of earnings season. It also usually sees a lack of buyers, which means stocks are more volatile than usual.

September and October represent hot-zone months where traders like to sell, especially after multiple years of big gains. And there is no doubt that during the past several years, stocks have enjoyed a nice run.

The three-year price chart of the SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY) clearly shows the multi-year run in stocks. It also, however, shows that so far this year, the trading range has been very tight.

SPY_080715

I expect a continuation of this range-bound trading in the hot zone, as investors will remain über cautious in front of what could be the first Federal Reserve interest rate hike in nearly a decade.

While caution in the hot zone is always a good idea, this year it’s even more important, given the tired nature of this bull market, as well as the potential headwinds on equities from the Fed, the commodities plunge, an emerging market equity meltdown and “just okay” earnings.

In my latest Weekly ETF Report video, I show you several more charts that reveal the big slide in many of the key markets that represent additional reasons to be cautious in August, September and October.

Watching this video will help you understand why caution in the hot zone is so important.

Plus, I also show you a few examples of so-called “smart-beta ETFs” and why their respective outperformance represents a good tool for investors looking to beat the major indices.


You’ll Never Guess Who’s About to Crash the DOW
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‘ETF Success with Doug Fabian’ Goes National!

Are you a regular listener to my radio show, “ETF Success with Doug Fabian”?

If not, then I hope you soon will be, and here’s your chance.

Today, I am very excited to announce that my weekly radio show is now syndicated nationally throughout the Salem radio network.

The table below shows the station, city and day and time the show will be aired (check your local listing for start dates, as not all stations carry the show yet).
WAFS-AM Business Radio 1190 Atlanta Sundays 6:00 am
WGKA-AM AM 920 The Answer Atlanta Sundays 10:00 am
WHK-AM AM 420 The Answer Cleveland Sundays 6:00 am
WTOH-FM 89.8 FM The Answer Columbus Sundays 5:00 pm
KVCE-AM AM 1160 The Business Authority Dallas Sundays 2:00 pm
WDTK-AM News Talk 1400 Detroit Sundays 8:00 am
KGU-AM AM 760 Business Radio Honolulu Wednesdays 2:00 pm
KNTH-AM AM 1070 The Answer Houston Weekdays 9:00 pm
KHTE-FM 96.5 FM The Answer Little Rock Saturdays 8:00 am
WGTK-AM AM 970 The Answer Louisville Saturdays 7:00 am
WZAB-AM AM 880 Business Radio Miami Sundays 2:00 pm
KYCR-AM AM 1570 Business Radio Minneapolis Sundays 6:00 am
WNYM-AM AM 970 The Answer New York Sundays 4:00 pm
WBZW-AM AM 1520 Business Radio Orlando Saturdays 8:00 am
WNTP-AM News Talk 990 AM Philadelphia Sundays 9:00 am
KKNT-AM 960 AM The Patriot Phoenix Saturdays 5:00 am
WPGP-AM AM 1250 The Answer Pittsburgh Saturdays and Sundays 5:00 pm
KSAC-FM Money 105.5 FM Sacramento Saturdays 9:00 am
KLUP-AM AM 930 The Answer San Antonio Saturdays 6:00 pm
KCBQ-AM AM 1170 The Answer San Diego Sundays 3:00 pm
KDOW-AM AM 1220 Business Radio San Francisco Sundays 8:00 am
KKOL-AM AM 1300 Business Radio Seattle Wednesdays 3:00 pm
KLFE-AM AM 1590 The Answer Seattle Saturdays 1:00 pm
WGUL-AM AM 860 The Answer Tampa Saturdays 5:00 pm
WWRC-AM AM 1260 The Answer Wash. DC Sundays 4:00 pm
The syndication of “ETF Success with Doug Fabian” is something I’ve been looking forward to for some time, and it’s a dream come true for me.

I hope you’ll join me in living this dream each week, on the station, day and time near you.


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ETF Talk: Small-Cap Dominance with International Dividends

The WisdomTree International SmallCap Dividend Fund (DLS) is an exchange-traded fund (ETF) that invests in non-U.S. dividend-paying securities. The fund was the second-strongest performer in the International Dividend category for the first half of this year.

In the case of DLS, “international” means that only companies based outside of the United States and Canada are considered for inclusion in the fund’s underlying index.

And, nearly 78% of this fund’s positions are in small-cap stocks. In general, small-cap stocks seem to have been the best performers in the international dividend category for this time period. The fund’s country distribution emphasizes Japan, Australia, the United Kingdom and Scandinavia. View the current price, volume, performance and top 10 holdings of DLS at ETFU.com.

For the first half of the year, DLS rose 8.68%, with most of the increase in its share price occurring during the first quarter. Its 5.43% yield is quite attractive for an ETF. Assets managed here are just under $1.1 billion. The chart below shows the most recent 12 months’ worth of performance.

DLS_080715

The top 10 largest holdings in this fund total just 1.77% of its assets. These top 10 holdings include Kaken Pharmaceutical Co. Ltd., 0.2%; Sanrio Co. Ltd., 0.2%; Teijin Ltd., 0.19%; Nishi-Nippon City Bank Ltd., 0.19%; and Pigeon Corp., 0.17%.

WisdomTree International SmallCap Dividend Fund (DLS) is a solid way to invest in a broad swath of global dividend-paying small-cap stocks. If you are an income seeker who wants international exposure in your holdings, you may wish to consider adding DLS to your holdings if that niche is unfilled. Remember to look for the current price, volume, performance and top 10 holdings of DLS on ETFU.com.

Look out next week as we round out the category for top-performing international dividend-based funds for the first half.

If you want my advice about buying and selling specific ETFs, including appropriate stop losses, please consider subscribing to my Successful ETF Investing newsletter. As always, I am happy to answer any of your questions about ETFs, so do not hesitate to send me an e-mail. You just may see your question answered in a future ETF Talk.

Wisdom from London

“You can’t wait for inspiration. You have to go after it with a club.”

-- Jack London

The excellent novelist puts on his motivational speaker hat in the above quote, reminding us that if you want to achieve anything, you have to go out with fervor and grab it.

Wisdom about money, investing and life can be found anywhere. If you have a good quote you’d like me to share with your fellow Weekly ETF Report readers, send it to me, along with any comments, questions and suggestions you have about my audio podcast, newsletters, seminars or anything else. Ask Doug.

In case you missed it, I encourage you to read my e-letter column from last week on Eagle Daily Investor about being cautious with commodities. I also invite you to comment in the space provided below my Eagle Daily Investor commentary.

All the best,
Doug Fabian
Doug Fabian
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