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Weekly ETF Report: The Truth about Currency Manipulators

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 Fabian's Weekly ETF Report
Fabian.com |  ETFU.com  |  Weekly ETF Report  |  Successful ETF Investing 08/14/2015
In This Issue:
  • Video AlertVideoCamera
  • Podcasts
  • The Truth about Currency Manipulators
  • ETF Talk: Protection from a Stronger U.S. Dollar
  • ‘ETF Success with Doug Fabian’ Goes National!
  • Milosz on Passion
By: Doug Fabian | Editor, Successful ETF Investing | President, Fabian Wealth Strategies
The Truth about Currency Manipulators
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The big news rocking global markets early this week was China and its surprise move to devalue its currency not once, but twice in two days.

Although markets have largely settled down during the past couple of trading days, the early-week selling in both domestic and international markets was a direct result of the near-5% plunge in the value of the Chinese yuan.

The theory here is that China is manipulating its currency to juice exports and lift its flailing economy. While this may indeed be true, China is not the only country doing this.

In fact, one look at the chart here of the Chinese yuan (CYB), the euro (FXE) and the Japanese yen (FXY) clearly shows that the leading global manipulator is Japan.

CYB_081415

Still, the Chinese move to devalue the yuan has brought up a lot of questions regarding what this means for stocks all over the world.

First, there’s a lot of nervousness about China’s economic growth, as well as that country’s ability to continue its 7% annual gross domestic product (GDP) expansion. Given that China is a major growth engine for the entire global economy, this is understandably a legitimate concern.

Second, the move has many worried about the beginning of a currency war, where central banks around the globe race to the bottom and try to make their currency relatively cheaper vs. other currencies, particularly the dollar.

Given that the Fed is likely to hike interest rates at least once this year, the move now to devalue currencies may be a preemptive strike against a rate hike that is dollar bullish.

Finally, the very sloppy interventions of late in both the currency and stock market by Chinese policymakers have many questioning China’s ability to control these respective aspects of their economy. This narrative is likely the biggest factor influencing global sentiment right now.

In today’s Weekly ETF Report video, I show you several more charts on the yuan, the euro and the yen, and we see how the recent currency tumult has influenced stocks in the S&P 500 and in the major global indices.

So, how will all of this currency manipulation turn out?

It is a grand experiment that has little precedent. As such, you need to be ultra cautious when it comes to putting money to work in either domestic or international equities.

In fact, right now subscribers to my Successful ETF Investing newsletter are sitting calmly, waiting for the turmoil in the currency, commodity and stock markets to settle before getting placing any big bets on this market.

To find out when it’s time to jump back into the pool, check out Successful ETF Investing today!


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ETF Talk: Protection from a Stronger U.S. Dollar

Today’s column features the third-best performer among international dividend funds for the first half of 2015: WisdomTree International Hedged Dividend Growth Fund (IHDG).

IHDG seeks to provide exposure to developed market companies outside the United States or Canada while also limiting fluctuations between the value of the U.S. dollar and foreign currencies. By hedging in this way, IHDG protects potential gains from slipping away when they are converted into U.S. dollars. With investments in the United Kingdom, Japan, Switzerland, Germany, Australia and other countries, many of which are devaluing their own currency, this hedging strategy is paying off.

View the current price, volume, performance and top 10 holdings of IHDG at ETFU.com.

To secure its bronze-medal position among international dividend funds for the first half of 2015, IHDG rose 7.27% through the first six months of 2015. In addition, this fund features a 1.86%, 12-month yield. IHDG’s assets under management are $360.11 million.

As the following chart shows, the fund has fallen from its sharp rise earlier this year but is up from its pullback in early July. If you like to buy at a discount, the current price of the fund allows you such an opportunity.

IHDG_081415

IHDG’s top 10 holdings total 8.7% of its assets. Most prominent among these holdings are Novo Nordisk A/A, 2.44%; Japan Tobacco Inc, 1.58%; KDDI Corp, 1.27%; Astellas Pharma Inc., 0.77%; and Hitachi Ltd, 0.5%.

If you want to invest in an international dividend fund without worrying that your potential returns could suffer due to the currently strong dollar, WisdomTree International Hedged Dividend Growth Fund (IHDG) may be worth a look.

Remember to look for the current price, volume, performance and top 10 holdings of IHDG on ETFU.com.

If you want my advice about buying and selling specific ETFs, including appropriate stop losses, please consider subscribing to my Successful ETF Investing newsletter. As always, I am happy to answer any of your questions about ETFs, so do not hesitate to send me an e-mail. You just may see your question answered in a future ETF Talk.


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‘ETF Success with Doug Fabian’ Goes National!

Are you a regular listener to my radio show, “ETF Success with Doug Fabian”?

If not, then I hope you soon will be, and here’s your chance.

Today, I am very excited to announce that my weekly radio show is now syndicated nationally throughout the Salem radio network.

The table below shows the station, city and day and time the show will be aired (check your local listing for start dates, as not all stations carry the show yet).
WAFS-AM Business Radio 1190 Atlanta Sundays 6:00 am
WGKA-AM AM 920 The Answer Atlanta Sundays 10:00 am
WHK-AM AM 420 The Answer Cleveland Sundays 6:00 am
WTOH-FM 89.8 FM The Answer Columbus Sundays 5:00 pm
KVCE-AM AM 1160 The Business Authority Dallas Sundays 2:00 pm
WDTK-AM News Talk 1400 Detroit Sundays 8:00 am
KGU-AM AM 760 Business Radio Honolulu Wednesdays 2:00 pm
KNTH-AM AM 1070 The Answer Houston Weekdays 9:00 pm
KHTE-FM 96.5 FM The Answer Little Rock Saturdays 8:00 am
WGTK-AM AM 970 The Answer Louisville Saturdays 7:00 am
WZAB-AM AM 880 Business Radio Miami Sundays 2:00 pm
KYCR-AM AM 1570 Business Radio Minneapolis Sundays 6:00 am
WNYM-AM AM 970 The Answer New York Sundays 4:00 pm
WBZW-AM AM 1520 Business Radio Orlando Saturdays 8:00 am
WNTP-AM News Talk 990 AM Philadelphia Sundays 9:00 am
KKNT-AM 960 AM The Patriot Phoenix Saturdays 5:00 am
WPGP-AM AM 1250 The Answer Pittsburgh Saturdays and Sundays 5:00 pm
KSAC-FM Money 105.5 FM Sacramento Saturdays 9:00 am
KLUP-AM AM 930 The Answer San Antonio Saturdays 6:00 pm
KCBQ-AM AM 1170 The Answer San Diego Sundays 3:00 pm
KDOW-AM AM 1220 Business Radio San Francisco Sundays 8:00 am
KKOL-AM AM 1300 Business Radio Seattle Wednesdays 3:00 pm
KLFE-AM AM 1590 The Answer Seattle Saturdays 1:00 pm
WGUL-AM AM 860 The Answer Tampa Saturdays 5:00 pm
WWRC-AM AM 1260 The Answer Wash. DC Sundays 4:00 pm
The syndication of “ETF Success with Doug Fabian” is something I’ve been looking forward to for some time, and it’s a dream come true for me.

I hope you’ll join me in living this dream each week, on the station, day and time near you.

Milosz on Passion

“The voice of passion is better than the voice of reason. The passionless cannot change history.”

-- Czeslaw Milosz

The brilliant poet, writer and diplomat could frequently distill the essence of a thing with just a few well placed words. Here, he reminds us that rationality is not enough to alter your destiny. To do that, you must have passion. Remember this in all things you do.

Wisdom about money, investing and life can be found anywhere. If you have a good quote you’d like me to share with your fellow Weekly ETF Report readers, send it to me, along with any comments, questions and suggestions you have about my audio podcast, newsletters, seminars or anything else. Ask Doug.

In case you missed it, I encourage you to read my e-letter column from last week on Eagle Daily Investor about the market's summer "hot zone." I also invite you to comment in the space provided below my Eagle Daily Investor commentary.

All the best,
Doug Fabian
Doug Fabian
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