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Weekly ETF Report: The Three Bears Have Arrived

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 Fabian's Weekly ETF Report
Fabian.com |  ETFU.com  |  Weekly ETF Report  |  Successful ETF Investing 08/21/2015
In This Issue:
  • Video AlertVideoCamera
  • Podcasts
  • The Three Bears Have Arrived
  • ETF Talk: U.S. Small-Cap Fund Outperforms Dividend-Paying Peers
  • 'ETF Success with Doug Fabian’ Goes National!
  • Glorious You
By: Doug Fabian | Editor, Successful ETF Investing | President, Fabian Wealth Strategies
The Three Bears Have Arrived
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There’s no Goldilocks in the markets right now. There are only the three bears -- and those bears are growling with ferocity.

Although not technically in a bear market in terms of percentage off the recent high, my benchmark for what I consider a market trouncing into bear territory is the 200-day moving average.

This is the benchmark technical indicator that my dad, Dick Fabian, taught me to pay the most attention to, as it is the key breaking point to determine when you should be in stocks -- and more importantly, when you should be out of stocks.

To this day, the 200-day moving average largely determines how we make decisions in the Successful ETF Investing newsletter.

If we look at what’s happened in the markets during the past week, we now see that the 200-day moving average has been breached with conviction in all three major indices -- the Dow, S&P 500 and the NASDAQ Composite.

The charts below of each respective market tell the tale of woe better than any verbiage can.

INDU_082115

SPX_082115

COMPQ_082115

As you can see, the major indices haven’t been below the 200-day moving average since October 2014.

This definitely means the bears have set up camp on Wall Street.

Of course, the positive spin here is that after stocks got smacked down in that October tumble, they embarked on a 10-month bull market run that kept investors feeling really good -- at least up until this week.

While we don’t know how long the current conditions will last, we do know that the market is replete with uncertainty here.

That uncertainty is largely due to China and its ability to keep up its economic growth targets; how China will affect the rest of the emerging markets and the commodities markets; and particularly how the unknown of when and/or if the Fed is going to raise interest rates in September or sometime this year.

Given all the market has to deal with right now, I am glad that cash is king in terms of my Successful ETF Investing newsletter recommendations.

If you want to know what to do right now, and just as importantly, if you want to know when it’s time to put cash to work, I invite you to check out Successful ETF Investing today!


You’ll Never Guess Who’s About to Crash the DOW
Don’t believe all of the rhetoric you’re hearing about President Obama’s “clueless” leadership… he knows exactly what he’s doing. His hidden agenda is slowly but surely coming to fruition behind the backs of the American people.

The worst part: the success of this “master plan” relies on a massive stock market crash! Click here now for the urgent exposé that could save your portfolio from the inevitable.

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ETF Talk: U.S. Small-Cap Fund Outperforms Dividend-Paying Peers

This article will focus on the top-performing U.S. domestic dividend equity fund for the first half of 2015, following our recent series on top international dividend exchange-traded funds (ETFs), DFE, DLS and IHDG.

The best returns among U.S. small-cap dividend-paying funds during the first half of 2015 came from the WisdomTree U.S. SmallCap Dividend Growth Fund (DGRS).

View the current price, volume, performance and top 10 holdings of DGRS at ETFU.com.

DGRS specializes in a type of company that is typically quite difficult to find. Dividend-paying stocks ordinarily tend to be larger-cap companies and often are more value-focused than growth-focused. This key reason is that paying dividends leaves companies with less cash to use for growth. Therefore, the inclusion of small-cap dividend payers in the index could be seen as an indicator of relative strength among those companies.

This specific category of exchange-traded fund (ETF), on the whole, did not perform particularly well in the first half of 2015. As a result, the funds ranking at the top of the category were those whose strategies managed to show gains despite the U.S. market’s weakness for the year’s first six months.

DGRS rose 0.69% in the first half of 2015. It also pays a 2.85% dividend yield. At just $26.49 million, this fund has less than $100 million in assets, so it falls beneath our recommended threshold for investment. However, this fund’s strategy is one that is worth bringing to your attention. The more knowledge you have as an investor, the better you can make informed decisions.

As the chart below demonstrates, this fund fared better in Q1 before falling thereafter.

DGRS_082115

The top 10 holdings in DGRS make up 14.55% of its investments. That list includes Nu Skin Enterprises Inc. (NUS), 2.05%; PBF Energy Inc. (PBF), 2.02%; Lexmark International Inc. (LXK), 1.57%; Bank of Hawaii Corp. (BOH), 1.52%; and Olin Corp (OLN), 1.46%.

If you think now is the time for domestic dividend-paying equities to recover, recent performance indicates that WisdomTree U.S. SmallCap Dividend Growth Fund (DGRS) could be one of the better options on the market. Just keep in mind that its lack of hefty trading volume adds risk in the event that a market downturn spurs existing investors to leave this fund in droves.

Remember to look for the current price, volume, performance and top 10 holdings of DGRS on ETFU.com.

If you want my advice about buying and selling specific ETFs, including appropriate stop losses, please consider subscribing to my Successful ETF Investing newsletter. As always, I am happy to answer any of your questions about ETFs, so do not hesitate to send me an e-mail. You just may see your question answered in a future ETF Talk.


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‘ETF Success with Doug Fabian’ Goes National!

Are you a regular listener to my radio show, “ETF Success with Doug Fabian”?

If not, then I hope you soon will be, and here’s your chance.

Today, I am very excited to announce that my weekly radio show is now syndicated nationally throughout the Salem radio network.

The table below shows the station, city and day and time the show will be aired (check your local listing for start dates, as not all stations carry the show yet).
WAFS-AM Business Radio 1190 Atlanta Sundays 6:00 am
WGKA-AM AM 920 The Answer Atlanta Sundays 10:00 am
WHK-AM AM 420 The Answer Cleveland Sundays 6:00 am
WTOH-FM 89.8 FM The Answer Columbus Sundays 5:00 pm
KVCE-AM AM 1160 The Business Authority Dallas Sundays 2:00 pm
WDTK-AM News Talk 1400 Detroit Sundays 8:00 am
KGU-AM AM 760 Business Radio Honolulu Wednesdays 2:00 pm
KNTH-AM AM 1070 The Answer Houston Weekdays 9:00 pm
KHTE-FM 96.5 FM The Answer Little Rock Saturdays 8:00 am
WGTK-AM AM 970 The Answer Louisville Saturdays 7:00 am
WZAB-AM AM 880 Business Radio Miami Sundays 2:00 pm
KYCR-AM AM 1570 Business Radio Minneapolis Sundays 6:00 am
WNYM-AM AM 970 The Answer New York Sundays 4:00 pm
WBZW-AM AM 1520 Business Radio Orlando Saturdays 8:00 am
WNTP-AM News Talk 990 AM Philadelphia Sundays 9:00 am
KKNT-AM 960 AM The Patriot Phoenix Saturdays 5:00 am
WPGP-AM AM 1250 The Answer Pittsburgh Saturdays and Sundays 5:00 pm
KSAC-FM Money 105.5 FM Sacramento Saturdays 9:00 am
KLUP-AM AM 930 The Answer San Antonio Saturdays 6:00 pm
KCBQ-AM AM 1170 The Answer San Diego Sundays 3:00 pm
KDOW-AM AM 1220 Business Radio San Francisco Sundays 8:00 am
KKOL-AM AM 1300 Business Radio Seattle Wednesdays 3:00 pm
KLFE-AM AM 1590 The Answer Seattle Saturdays 1:00 pm
WGUL-AM AM 860 The Answer Tampa Saturdays 5:00 pm
WWRC-AM AM 1260 The Answer Wash. DC Sundays 4:00 pm
The syndication of “ETF Success with Doug Fabian” is something I’ve been looking forward to for some time, and it’s a dream come true for me.

I hope you’ll join me in living this dream each week, on the station, day and time near you.

Glorious You

Come on now if we all pull together
We can lift up the weight of the world from your shoulders
Lift up the weight of the world from your shoulders
Just for a moment or two
And be glorious you


-- Frank Turner, “Glorious You”

The folk rocker’s lyrics tend to be both raw and celebratory, especially in the face of adverse circumstances. In his song “Glorious You,” Turner reminds us that when we all put our intentions together we can change the world -- and we can be glorious.

Wisdom about money, investing and life can be found anywhere. If you have a good quote you’d like me to share with your fellow Weekly ETF Report readers, send it to me, along with any comments, questions and suggestions you have about my audio podcast, newsletters, seminars or anything else. Ask Doug.

In case you missed it, I encourage you to read my e-letter column from last week on Eagle Daily Investor about how currency manipulators are impacting the global market. I also invite you to comment in the space provided below my Eagle Daily Investor commentary.

All the best,
Doug Fabian
Doug Fabian
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