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The 10-Point: My Guide to the Day's Top News

The Wall Street Journal
Good morning,
Rust Belt Way
Donald Trump’s success in attracting white, working-class voters is raising the prospect that the Republican Party, in an electoral gamble, could attempt to take an unexpected path to the White House that would run through the slow-to-diversify upper Midwest. If he wins the nomination, Mr. Trump may boost voting rates among white, working-class residents, but he faces some tricky math. In the course of motivating white voters in the Rust Belt with his controversial proposals, he could also prompt higher turnout among minority and women voters, clear majorities of whom don't support him. Meanwhile, the Republican front-runner is well-positioned to claim another win in Michigan on Tuesday as the race for the Republican nomination looks increasingly like a two-man contest. This past weekend’s results increased pressure on Ohio Gov. John Kasich and Florida Sen. Marco Rubio to exit the race as Mr. Trump and Sen. Ted Cruz each won two states. But Sen. Rubio had one success—scoring a lopsided victory in Puerto Rico, where he won all the delegates at stake in the territory.
Moving Target
China has tweaked its economic blueprint, but the results may be more of the same: debt-fueled, sluggish growth. Beijing’s leaders made clear they are emphasizing growth over restructuring this year, but suggested they are trying to avoid inflating debt or asset bubbles as they send massive amounts of money into the economy. The government announced a 6.5% to 7% growth target for 2016 at the start of the National People’s Congress over the weekend and Premier Li Keqiang promised tax cuts that could leave companies with more money to invest. Meanwhile, the head of China’s top economic-planning agency rejected suggestions that the slowdown is dragging on global growth and markets. But concerns about a credit buildup have grown as the economy has slowed and China’s plan to reform the state-owned sector remains vague.
Split Coalition
Political rivalries are delaying an offensive to recapture Mosul, Iraq’s second-largest city, from Islamic State, slowing the effort to take advantage of recent battlefield victories over the radical Islamist group. Differences among the various forces fighting Islamic State—a group that includes the U.S., Iran-backed Shiite militias and Kurdish fighters—have prevented any meaningful military planning for an assault. U.S. officials have offered shifting timetables for an offensive on Mosul since declaring in January 2015 that preparations were under way, saying recently that an operation could begin this summer. Now some Iraqi and U.S. officials are predicting that the offensive won’t even begin this year. Meanwhile, a suicide truck bomb killed more than 60 people at a crowded checkpoint south of Baghdad yesterday, the latest in a recent spate of attacks on Shiite majority areas by Islamic State.
So Long, Peyton
Denver Broncos quarterback Peyton Manning is calling it quits after an 18-year career in the NFL that made him one of history’s greatest passers. He departs with two Super Bowl rings and the all-time league records for passing yardage and touchdown throws. His revival with the Denver Broncos was a remarkable second act that was better than the first, though his career with the Indianapolis Colts was already enough to ensure enshrinement in football’s Hall of Fame. But what will the five-time NFL MVP do next? Our columnist Jason Gay considers several options. A career in broadcasting may be the obvious choice, but a shift to team ownership also has its appeal. Then again, it isn’t too late for him to consider jumping into the presidential race. See Peyton Manning’s career in photos.
TODAY'S VIDEO
Democratic Debate
That Was Painless
Democratic presidential hopefuls Hillary Clinton and Bernie Sanders went head-to-head at Sunday’s debate in Flint, Mich., on everything from the auto bailout to how they would run against Donald Trump.
TOP STORIES
U.S.

The Hurdles to Getting U.S. Workers Off the Sidelines

Colleges Lock Horns Over Nursing Programs
WORLD

Europe Faces Pension Predicament

Turkey Wages Uphill Battle to Stop Migrant Smugglers on Aegean Sea
BUSINESS

Air Force Plan on Rocket’s Fate Is Under Fire

Drugmakers Scramble to Find Zika Vaccine
MARKETS

Investors Fret as ECB Looks Poised to Get More Negative

Europe’s Banks Find a Dumping Ground for Their Losses
NUMBER OF THE DAY
8.3
The percentage-point decline in Wall Street’s first-quarter earnings estimates for S&P 500 companies during the first two months of 2016, the largest such shift during a reporting quarter since the start of 2009.
QUOTE OF THE DAY
It was a great Hollywood love story and I’m sure that they are back together now.
Sen. John McCain on the marriage of former President Ronald Reagan and first lady Nancy Reagan, who died at 94.
TODAY'S QUESTION
Going back to our story above, what are your thoughts on political rivalries delaying an offensive to recapture Mosul, Iraq? Send your comments, which we may edit before publication, to 10point@wsj.com. Please include your name and location
—Compiled by Margaret Rawson
READER RESPONSE
Responding to Friday’s question on Thursday’s GOP debate, Bill Wood of California wrote: “The debate resembled recess at an elementary school.” Joel Rossmaier of Arkansas commented: “I would be reluctant to declare a winner of last night’s debate, but it’s pretty clear that the Republican party, and the American people, were the losers. Lost amid the bombast and accusations was any substantive discussion of real differences between the candidates and their visions—if they have any.” And Phil Grannan of Massachusetts shared: “Mr. Trump’s rivals certainly gave quite a bit of ammunition to the Democratic candidate to use against him in the general election.” Bill Braswell of Virginia opined: “The only adult in the room was Ohio Gov. John Kasich.” Send your comments, which we may edit before publication, to 10point@wsj.com. Please include your name and location.
This daily briefing is named "The 10-Point" after the nickname conferred by the editors of The Wall Street Journal on the lead column of the legendary "What's News" digest of top stories. Technically, "10-point" referred to the size of the typeface. The type is smaller now but the name lives on.
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