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The 10-Point: My Guide to the World Economic Forum in Davos

The Wall Street Journal
Good evening from Davos, Switzerland,

Today’s packed schedule at the World Economic Forum didn’t disappoint in providing key insights into the economic and geopolitical outlook, from China’s dramatic shift to embrace globalization to the Trump administration’s caution on the dollar, with Europe caught in the crossfire as it confronts Brexit.

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In a keynote address, Chinese President Xi Jinping issued a full-throated defense of international trade and economic integration, portraying Beijing as a benevolent power intent on upholding an international order that has boosted common prosperity. With doubts about the merits of globalization mounting in the U.S. and elsewhere in the West, Mr. Xi’s speech was portrayed by some who saw it as a move to fill a global leadership vacuum. Some in the audience questioned China’s readiness. Mr. Xi, the first Chinese head of state to attend the forum, also offered an implicit rebuke of Mr. Trump, who has threatened to impose tariffs on China. “No one will emerge as a winner in a trade war,” he said.

It fell to Anthony Scaramucci, the Trump administration’s ambassador to the global elite at Davos, to respond. Mr. Scaramucci—hedge-fund showman, conference organizer, Trump confidant—is joining the Trump administration as an assistant to the president with a focus on explaining his ideas and projects to Americans. He depicted the system of global trade, whose apostles and architects compose the core of the Davos audience, as in need of repair. Mr. Trump “could be one of the last great hopes for globalism,” he said.

Earlier in the day, on a panel I moderated on monetary policy, Mr. Scaramucci said that the Trump administration wants an independent Federal Reserve and must be careful about a rising dollar. He argued the U.S. economy could withstand the impact of a strong dollar, but warned that deflation could cause a downturn that would be worse than past economic crises.

Meanwhile, the dollar tumbled to its lowest level in a month after Mr. Trump said in an interview published Monday that he favors a weaker dollar, breaking with decades of tradition and intensifying investor concern over the new administration’s capacity for surprising policy shifts. Still, with markets improving and a pro-business administration poised to take over in Washington, the mood among global corporate and financial leaders in Davos is upbeat, despite the surge of antiglobal sentiment. Many corporate executives said they were enthusiastic about the prospect that the Trump administration will roll back taxes and regulation and spur economic growth after years of lackluster activity. By and large, they brushed aside concerns that trade and other policies of the new administration may be counterproductive.

“Tax and regulatory reform are so significant, I think they will outweigh any other things that may be done,” AT&T Chief Executive Randall Stephenson said in an interview. Other corporate leaders including John Chambers, executive chairman of Cisco Systems, echoed the sentiment that much anxiety in the business community is misplaced.
AT&T CEO Discusses Time Warner Merger
That Was Painless
WSJ Deputy Editor in Chief Matt Murray spoke to AT&T CEO Randall Stephenson at Davos about its pending merger with Time Warner and what a lower tax rate would mean for AT&T.
The closing yield on the benchmark 10-year Treasury note Tuesday, marking the lowest closing since Nov. 29 as the Trump trade continues to retreat in the U.S. government bond market.
What I am proposing cannot mean membership of the single market...Instead we seek the greatest possible access to it through a new, comprehensive, bold and ambitious free-trade agreement.
Prime Minister Theresa May said the U.K. intends to leave the EU’s single market, outlining a plan for a clear break from the bloc and answering the biggest open question about her vision for Britain’s future.

This daily briefing is named "The 10-Point" after the nickname conferred by the editors of The Wall Street Journal on the lead column of the legendary "What's News" digest of top stories. Technically, "10-point" referred to the size of the typeface. The type is smaller now but the name lives on.

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