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Equity Office Daily Brief: January 11, 2017

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Daily Brief

January 11, 2017

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Commercial Mortgage Originators Expect Strong, Steady Market in 2017

World Property Journal

 

According to a new Mortgage Bankers Association survey of the top commercial and multifamily mortgage origination firms, U.S. commercial and multifamily mortgage lending is expected to increase in 2017, as lenders' appetites to place new loans and borrowers' appetites to borrow...

 


George Lucas Selects Los Angeles for Museum of Narrative Art

Los Angeles Business Journal

 

Los Angeles has won the battle to become home to filmmaker George Lucas’s $1 billion art museum. The Lucas Museum of Narrative Art will build its long-planned facility in South L.A.’s Exposition Park, the museum’s board said in a statement Tuesday, discarding...

 


LA 2024 Summer Olympics Would Generate $11 Billion in Local Economic Impact

Los Angeles Business Journal

 

If the 2024 Summer Olympic Games were held in Los Angeles, it would generate $11 billion in local economic impact, according to a study released Monday by the LA 2024 Olympic Organizing Committee. The study, conducted jointly by UC Riverside and L.A.’s...

 



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Office Rents Rising, But Multifamily Dominates Development In OC And LA

Bisnow

 

The multifamily and office markets appear to be healthy in both LA and the OC, though the two markets have their differences and OC is lagging about a year behind its larger neighbor. Parker Properties managing member Russ Parker (second from left)...

 


This Week's LA Deal Sheet

Bisnow

 

Azzi Advisors of Marcus & Millichap just sold a popular multifamily property at 1533 North Martel Ave for $15.6M. It had not been on the market in more than 30 years.The property, which is on a 24,574 SF lot in the...

 


Middle Market Digest: Southwest

GlobeSt.com

 

Our bi-weekly update on the middle markets throughout the Southwest region. Here’s a look at the latest news, announcements and deals that you may have missed in Southern California, Nevada, Arizona and Utah. NEW & NOTABLE RENO, NV— Suzy Klass and Steve Avanzino...

 


Inside the Revitalization of CitiGroup Center

GlobeSt.com

 

CoreTrust is planning a major revitalization at CitiGroup Center in Downtown Los Angeles. In an earlier story, GlobeSt.com reported that the firm purchased the dated office campus in the heart of the Downtown central business district for a reported $336 million....

 


The good, the bad and the ugly: market outlook for 5 CRE sectors this year

Bisnow

 

Experts are forecasting boosted GDP, corporate tax cuts, looser lending regulations and an overall improved economic outlook for the U.S. under the Trump administration. Though it won’t be all sunshine and happiness just yet. Trump’s expected policies will likely drive inflation...

 

FULL TEXT


Commercial Mortgage Originators Expect Strong, Steady Market in 2017

World Property Journal

 

According to a new Mortgage Bankers Association survey of the top commercial and multifamily mortgage origination firms, U.S. commercial and multifamily mortgage lending is expected to increase in 2017, as lenders' appetites to place new loans and borrowers' appetites to borrow both remain strong.Nearly two-thirds (63 percent) of the top firms expect originations to increase in 2017, with one-quarter (26 percent) expecting an increase of 5 percent or more. A full half (50 percent) expect their own firm's originations to increase by 5 percent or more.

"Commercial mortgage bankers expect 2017 to carry-over much of the momentum from 2016," said Jamie Woodwell, MBA's Vice President for Commercial Real Estate Research. "Most of the top firms expect strong demand from both lenders and borrowers in 2017, although not quite as strong as 2016. Originators generally see borrowing and lending volumes growing slightly, with just over half expecting potential regulatory and legislative changes to be positive for the market. The survey paints expectations of a strong, steady market in 2017."

Specific 2017 report findings include:

Lenders remain eager to make loans -- 96 percent of originators reported that in 2016 lenders had a "strong" or "very strong" appetite to make new loans and 77 percent expect lenders' 2017 appetite to be "strong" or "very strong".

Borrowers are eager to take out loans - 80 percent of originators reported that in 2016 borrowers had a "strong" or "very strong" appetite to take out new loans and 69 percent expect borrowers' 2017 appetite to be "strong" or "very strong".

A full 92 percent of originators reported that in 2016 their own firm had a "strong" or "very strong" appetite to make new loans. A slightly lower share (85 percent) expect their own firm's 2017 appetite to be "strong" or "very strong".

Most originators expect the market to grow in 2017 (and their own firms to grow more quickly). One-quarter of respondents (26 percent) expect total market originations to increase 5 percent or more in 2017. Half (50 percent) expect their own originations to increase by 5 percent or more.

There are mixed views on how origination volumes may change for individual capital sources. Pluralities of originators believe each major investor group, with the exception of life insurance companies, will see no change in origination volume; the plurality expect life insurance companies to increase volumes by 0-5 percent. Originations are generally expected to be flat or increase for commercial mortgage-backed securities (25 percent anticipate growth less than 5%), life insurance companies/pensions (18 percent anticipate growth less than 5%), bank portfolios (18 percent anticipate growth less than 5%), FHA (15 percent anticipate growth less than 5%) and Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac (10 percent anticipate growth less than 5%).

Loan returns are expected to increase in 2017. Half of respondents (50 percent) characterized the loans made in 2016 as "somewhat" or "very low" return. Less than one-third (30 percent) expect loans to be "somewhat" or "very low" return in 2017.

Loan risk is expected to increase slightly in 2017. More respondents characterized the loans made in 2016 as low risk than as high risk. In 2017, most respondents expect loans to be medium risk (53 percent), with the reminder evenly split between seeing higher and lower risk loans.

The majority of respondents (52 percent) expect potential regulatory and legislative changes could be positive for the market. One-in-four respondents (28 percent) anticipate a neutral impact and one-in-five (20 percent) see potential negative impacts.

Among the top reasons cited for positive impacts were potential changes to Dodd-Frank rules - particularly risk retention - and a more positive economic climate. Among the reasons cited for negative impacts were uncertainties that could be caused by changing rules.

-Michael Gerrity

George Lucas Selects Los Angeles for Museum of Narrative Art

Los Angeles Business Journal

 

Los Angeles has won the battle to become home to filmmaker George Lucas’s $1 billion art museum.

The Lucas Museum of Narrative Art will build its long-planned facility in South L.A.’s Exposition Park, the museum’s board said in a statement Tuesday, discarding an alternative plan to touch down in San Francisco.

Slated to hold between 90,000 to 100,000 square feet of galleries as part of a futuristic, spaceship-like design by MAD Architects, the museum is meant to explore the craft of visual storytelling through paintings, illustrations, photography, and film. The facility is expected to generate more than 1,500 construction jobs and 350 permanent positions. Lucas and his wife, Mellody Hobson, have pledged to fund the museum’s construction and endowment.

Los Angeles was pitted against San Francisco for the much-coveted museum ever since last June, when Lucas, famed for creating “Star Wars,” pulled out of a plan to put the museum in Chicago.

“Settling on a location proved to be an extremely difficult decision precisely because of the desirability of both sites and cities,” the museum’s board said in a statement. “Exposition Park is a magnet for the region and accessible from all parts of the city…we look forward to becoming part of a dynamic museum community.”

Exposition Park near the University of Southern California is already home to the Natural History Museum of Los Angeles, the California Science Center, and the California African American Museum. The Los Angeles Football Club in August broke ground on a $350 million, 22,000-seat soccer stadium.

Los Angeles Mayor Eric Garcetti said in a statement Tuesday that the museum would be “a new jewel” for the city.

“We went after it with everything we have - because I know that L.A. is the ideal place for making sure that it touches the widest possible audience,” he said.

-Real estate reporter Daina Beth Solomon can be reached at dsolomon@labusinessjournal.com. Follow her on Twitter @dainabethcita for the latest in L.A. real estate news.

LA 2024 Summer Olympics Would Generate $11 Billion in Local Economic Impact

Los Angeles Business Journal

 

If the 2024 Summer Olympic Games were held in Los Angeles, it would generate $11 billion in local economic impact, according to a study released Monday by the LA 2024 Olympic Organizing Committee.

The study, conducted jointly by UC Riverside and L.A.’s Beacon Economics on behalf of LA 2024, projects the Olympic games would increase economic output by nearly $11.2 billion in the Los Angeles region and $18.3 billion nationwide.

Additionally, in the Los Angeles area, the games would generate up to $167 million in increased tax revenues, up to 79,000 new full-time jobs, roughly $7 billion in direct additional spending, and about $5 billion in increased worker earnings.

“There is little doubt that hosting the Olympics is an enormous boost for a local economy - both in the short term as driven by activity surrounding the events themselves and the long term given how these events raise the global profile of the region,” Christopher Thornberg said in a statement. Thornberg is founding partner of Beacon Economics and director of the UC Riverside School of Business Center for Economic Forecasting and Development.

Last month, LA 2024 released a revised budget for the Summer Olympics and Paralympics of $5.3 billion, which the committee said will be offset entirely by revenues from broadcast rights, ticket sales and corporate sponsorships. The budget relies heavily on keeping costs in check through the use of existing facilities.

“LA 2024’s fiscally responsible approach has reduced risk for the City of Los Angeles and the IOC,” LA 2024 Chairman Casey Wasserman said in a statement. “Now, we are able to quantify some really exciting upsides from LA 2024, with $11 billion in economic activity and a new Olympic job sector equivalent in size to LA's arts and recreation industries combined. And that doesn’t count the incredible promotional value of bringing the Games to our city.”

Los Angeles is one of three finalist cities remaining in the bidding for the 2024 Summer Olympic and Paralympic Games; the other two are Paris and Budapest. The International Olympic Committee will meet in September in Lima, Peru to select the host city.

-Public policy and energy reporter Howard Fine can be reached at hfine@labusinessjournal.com. Follow him on Twitter @howardafine.

Office Rents Rising, But Multifamily Dominates Development In OC And LA

Bisnow

 

The multifamily and office markets appear to be healthy in both LA and the OC, though the two markets have their differences and OC is lagging about a year behind its larger neighbor.

Parker Properties managing member Russ Parker (second from left) said the OC market "seems to be at least a year behind LA." LA "is starting to experience anemia" even as Orange County starts to take off, he said at our recent Orange County 2017 Forecast event. The OC is just starting to see office rent growth and "our asking rents go way up while LA has already gone there," according to Parker. In LA, new Class-A office rents have gone up to about $4 per SF per month, he said. At the end of Q4 2106, OC had 2.26M SF of office under construction, while LA had 2.24M SF underway, said CBRE First VP Allison Schneider Kelly (center). Pendulum Property Partners managing partner Kevin Hayes (far left) said he thinks this year the OC will experience a "really interesting dislocation." He expects Orange County will have a very strong economy, but a real estate pullback. Also pictured at the recent Orange County 2017 Forecast event are Greenlaw Partners founder Wil Smith and Cox Castle & Nicholson partner Dave Wensley, who moderated the panel.

Wensley (far right) said he counted 29 cranes on a recent drive through DTLA, but only about two of them had any office component attached. The rest were multifamily, high-rise developments. Kelly said the principal construction activity in both the OC and LA is multifamily. She said CoStar reports LA had 27,757 multifamily units under construction at the end of Q4 2016, while OC had 10,982 units under construction.

Several panelists said office demand is lagging residential development. Kelly said companies don’t need as much square footage as they used to because of technology and the way people are working. That affects office demand, because "they can do a lot more in less square footage," she said.-Karen Jordan

This Week's LA Deal Sheet

Bisnow

 

Azzi Advisors of Marcus & Millichap just sold a popular multifamily property at 1533 North Martel Ave for $15.6M. It had not been on the market in more than 30 years.The property, which is on a 24,574 SF lot in the West Hollywood adjacent neighborhood, consists of 39 units. It was inherited by some siblings "who each wanted to sell and exchange into their own individual properties," Azzi Advisors founder and Marcus & Millichap EVP of investments Tony Azzi (right with business development associate Jordan Asheghian) told Bisnow. There was a great deal of interest in the property, which ended up receiving eight written offers, according to Azzi. Ten of the units are vacant, and the new buyer, a private investor, plans to renovate those units and the entire building.The multifamily building (above) has 42,300 rentable SF. The units average around 1,100 SF. There are also 58 underground parking spaces and an on-site laundry facility. Azzi, along with Azzi Advisors business development associates Jordan Asheghian and Adi Mizrahi, repped both the seller and the buyer.SALES Trion Properties repositioned and sold the 26,186 SF Valencia Town Center Plaza for $9.8M. The firm bought the Valencia Town Center Plaza at 24510 Town Center Drive in Valencia about three years ago for $6.8M. The property went through a reno, and the shopping center's occupancy was more than doubled. Arbor Realty Capital Advisors managing partners Joshua Levy and Matthew Dobson repped both the seller and the buyer, a private real estate investor.

 ***

Stepp Commercial completed the $9.7M sale of Ocean Plaza, a 44-unit apartment property at 633 East 1st St in the East Village Arts District of downtown Long Beach. The property closed at a 4.2% cap rate and $220,455/unit. Built more than 60 years ago, the property has three, two-story buildings with a pool in the center courtyard. It has 18 one-bedroom units and 26 studios. The property recently underwent light renos, including remodeled kitchens. Stepp Commercial principal Robert Stepp repped the seller, Santa Monica's Joda Investments, and the Westchester-based private buyer.

***

A 35,584 SF, multi-tenant office building in Woodland Hills sold for $7.05M. A private investor sold the building at 22900 Ventura Blvd to another private investor who plans to occupy part of it. Lee & Associates-LA North/Ventura principal Jay Rubin repped the seller.NEW CONSTRUCTION CBRE is partnering with landlord Douglas Emmett to renovate a 10k SF former Kate Mantilini restaurant at 5921 Owensmouth Ave, in the middle of Warner Center Towers, into a new Workplace Strategy office. The new space will have an open-floor design, floor-to-ceiling windows, and 1,500 SF of outdoor working space. The office will be 100% address free, meaning no assigned desks for employees, and paperless. It is part of CBRE’s global Workplace360 initiative. CBRE plans to move about 50 employees, many from the former Camarillo office, to the new location. The office is scheduled to open at the end of Q1.

Surgery Partners just relocated to a new state-of-the-art surgical facility at 9001 Wilshire Blvd in Beverly Hills, according to Cushman & Wakefield. The 12k SF facility, known as the Specialty Surgical Center of Beverly Hills, will specialize in ophthalmology. It marks the company's second location in Beverly Hills. Cushman & Wakefield's Jon Gorczyca in the West LA office and Yarden Drimmer in the firm’s New York City office are national account managers for Surgery Partners and repped the tenant. The Specialty Surgical Center will be housed on the office's ground floor.

EXECUTIVE NEWS Perkins+Will has added Martin Leitner, AIA, to lead its Cities and Sites practice. Leitner will expand the architectural firm's reputation in designing spaces that reimagine the environment that is already built by creating more sustainable, walkable and livable communities. Previously, Leitner was a senior associate at Torti Gallas + Partners.

 

-Karen Jordan

 

Middle Market Digest: Southwest

GlobeSt.com

 

Our bi-weekly update on the middle markets throughout the Southwest region. Here’s a look at the latest news, announcements and deals that you may have missed in Southern California, Nevada, Arizona and Utah.

NEW & NOTABLE

RENO, NV— Suzy Klass and Steve Avanzino have joined Kidder Mathews’ Reno office. In their new roles, they will specialize in office and self-storage investments. Prior to joining Kidder Mathews, both were with NAI Alliance.

SAN BERNARDINO, CA—Ontario International Airport Authority, a body composed of Inland officials, has assumed local control of Ontario International Airport (ONT) from Los Angeles World Airports, and now, San Bernardino County residents and businesses are tasked with ensuring the airport will grow and flourish. According to the authority, airports are an important economic catalyst for many industries. They are the gateway to a region and many times provide the first impression for visitors who travel into a new area. The County will take part in its repositioning and re-emergence as the fastest growing airport in Southern California. However, County residents and businesses must now embrace the convenience of a local airport and recognize the opportunity to support ONT’s growth by flying local. As a member of the Ontario International Airport Authority, the County will be part of a broader effort to drive down costs and improve service in order to make ONT a more attractive and competitive option for airline service.

PHOENIX—Savills Studley has hired a team of seasoned industry professionals to the firm’s Occupier Services Group, including executive managing directors Charles Daggett and Dina Zavislak. This new global occupier services team comes to Savills Studley from Mohr Partners, and will operate from the company’s Dallas and Phoenix offices. Daggett and Zavislak’s team has extensive experience assisting Fortune 500 and Fortune 1000 clients with strategic management of real estate portfolios, continually managing hundreds of transactions annually worth in excess of $1.4 billion over the past few years. As part of Savills Studley’s rapidly expanding Occupier Services Group, the team will continue to offer clients in-depth market-by-market data/analytics, complex financial portfolio modeling, workplace strategy solutions and strategic portfolio management.

THOUSAND OAKS—University Village continuing care retirement community in Thousand Oaks, and its landscaping company, Stay Green, have won a top statewide award for excellence in landscaping and maintenance from the California Landscape Contractors Association. CLCA annually sponsors the Trophy Awards, which recognize the best of California landscaping. University Village won a first-place Trophy Award in the category of “Public Works/Sports, Parks & Athletic Fields,” one of the most competitive categories in the awards program. Each entry is evaluated for its workmanship, quality of construction, quality of landscape materials and overall appearance by professional judges.

DEALTRACKER

PHOENIX—A California-based Investment Concepts has acquired the Solano Terrace Apartments at 4715 N. Black Canyon in Phoenix, AZ, for $19 million from 3rd Avenue Investments. Built in 1985, Solano Terrace Apartments is situated on 9.98 acres. The property includes 18 two-story buildings with a total of 288 apartment units. The units range from 450-square- foot studios to 950-square- foot 2BD/2BA deluxe units with washer/dryer. Solano Terrace was 94% occupied at the time of the sale. Solano Terrace apartments feature spacious interiors, private patios, and gourmet kitchens with dishwashers. Some units include in-suite washer/dryers, walk-in closets and breakfast bars. Solano Terrace is a gated community with lush landscaping and mature trees. Common areas include a fitness center, Internet center, BBQ and children’s play area. The property also features two sparkling pools and spa. Hahn, Jeff Sherman and Trevor Koskovich with Colliers International in Greater Phoenix handled the marketing and sale of the Solano Terrace Apartments. Financing was arranged through Fidelity BanCorp Funding.

SPARKS, NV—1100 Place Apartments, a 230-unit apartment property in Sparks, Nevada has traded hands for $15.5 million, which equates to $67,400 per unit. Built in 1975 on more than seven acres, 1100 Place Apartments is located at 1100 15th St. in Sparks. Major renovations completed since 2015 include new siding, exterior painting, enclosed carports, new asphalt, new landings, landscaping and signage. Throughout the extensive exterior renovation process, the ownership maintained an occupancy rate of 96%. Kenneth Blomsterberg, along with Ryan Rife and Benjamin L. Nelson, associates in Reno, had the exclusive listing to market the property on behalf of the seller, a special servicer. The team also secured and represented the buyer, a San Francisco Bay Area-based private investor.

SAN DIEGO— PUR VDF Apartments has sold the Terra at Mission Trails Apartments for more than $20 million to Mission Gorge Rd LP. Built in 1977, the 90-unit asset underwent a major renovation in 2010 and is situated on 3.44 acres. The property features studios, one, and two bedroom units, with an average floorplan of 671 square feet. The community has resort-style amenities, including a pool, hot tub, sauna, resident lounge, BBQ area and a new state of the art fitness center. CBRE multifamily experts Jim Neil, Eric Comer, and Merrick Matricardi represented the seller, while the buyer represented itself.

NEWPORT BEACH, CA— Shopoff Realty Investments has acquired a three-story, 44,434-square-foot office building located at 4440 Von Karman Ave. in Newport Beach, Calif. The property was acquired for $15.4 million. The property featured lush landscaping, an elevator and abundant common parking. CommerceWest Bank, DynTek and Johnson Attorneys Group occupy the property. The building was 44% vacant at the time of acquisition, in a market with an 8.5% vacancy rate and rents forecasted to grow 33.5% over the next five years.

-Kelsi Maree Borland

Inside the Revitalization of CitiGroup Center

GlobeSt.com

 

CoreTrust is planning a major revitalization at CitiGroup Center in Downtown Los Angeles. In an earlier story, GlobeSt.com reported that the firm purchased the dated office campus in the heart of the Downtown central business district for a reported $336 million. The circa-1981 property is due for a face-lift, but CoreTrust has a bigger vision to transform the center into a modern hub in the city that will benefit both tenants and passersby, all with a $50 million price tag.

CoreTrust is going to start by using its renovation of City National Plaza as a template. The firm purchased that property in 2003, when downtown was a gamble. “That was when everyone said that life in Downtown Los Angeles was on Bunker Hill. We moved all of these tenants down here. We were playing with large blocks of space, and we could move people in turn key. Tenants didn’t have to work through a rebuild of the space,” John Sischo, a principal at CoreTrust, tells GlobeSt.com. “Now, we have to look at how to make our space attractive as a home, because we are all mobile and we can anywhere we want to be. That is why there is a big play on open spaces, communal spaces and lighting. That is all designed to compete with home spaces. I have the ability in this building to create an attractive floor plates and outdoor amenities.”

CoreTrust is going to renovate all of the common areas in the building, activate the outdoor terraces and have a design plan that incentivizes people to come to work. However, the firm is following the trends—especially when it comes to its tenant pool. While the rest of Downtown Los Angeles is trying to attract tech and media tenants, CoreTrust wants traditional tenants that can appreciate the space and see it as an amenity. “Our tenants are ones that are going to be seeking the type of space that we are going to be building. That could intersect with tech, but it isn’t focused on tech,” says Sischo. “For example, we have a firm that we have worked with that is located in Pasadena, and they are concerned that they are not going to be able to recruit the kind individuals that they want. So, they are going to put a satellite office in L.A. We are going to create a space for that kind of tenant.”

This isn’t a problem for a firm that has been a long-time player in the market and has seen it change and grow. “The city is becoming more of a place where people want to live and work, and I have seen that transition,” says Sischo. “The challenge was always to bring a Westside tenant downtown, and we brought Gensler here. People move to where they want to be, and this is where people want to be.”

-Kelsi Maree Borland

The good, the bad and the ugly: market outlook for 5 CRE sectors this year

Bisnow

 

Experts are forecasting boosted GDP, corporate tax cuts, looser lending regulations and an overall improved economic outlook for the U.S. under the Trump administration. Though it won’t be all sunshine and happiness just yet. Trump’s expected policies will likely drive inflation upward, forcing the Fed to counteract by increasing the pace of interest rate hikes this year. These factors combine for a mixed economic outlook. Here’s a quick snapshot of how the five commercial property sectors are expected to fare this year, according to CBRE’s 2017 Office Outlook report.Office

Downtown office markets have led this cycle, but experts are projecting a shift in performance to suburban markets this year. Suburban vacancies are expected to increase a mere 10 bps to 14.5% for the year with rent growth exceeding 2%. This growth is thanks in large part to the shift in suburban development that is catering to Millennials and young professionals' live/work/play preferences. As for downtown markets, vacancies are projected to increase by 30 bps to 10.9%. It’s important to note that national occupancy in downtown office still far exceeds that of suburban markets. Industrial

This sector has been powered by robust growth in e-commerce and technological advancements like autonomous vehicles. And that's not going away. Availability remains at 15-year lows, net occupancy logged its 26th quarter of record gains as of Q3 and rents continue to climb toward an all-time high. But the sector is expected to cool a bit as user demand wanes this year, CBRE’s David Egan told us.Retail

Retail is suffering — brick-and-mortar stores continue to close and consolidate stores while e-commerce increasingly grabs dollars. Keeping pace with past years, online sales are projected to grow at a 15.5% rate to 9.2% this year. Experts say to expect even more mixed-use lifestyle developments to compete. CBRE did say strong job gains will continue to benefit national retail rents, with community strip centers expected to grow by an annual average of 1.7%.Hotel

Save any political or economic disruptions, the hotel sector will benefit from increased leisure and business travel thanks to robust consumer confidence, a healthy labor market and wage growth. Hotel demand and supply are expected to see year-to-year growth that's mostly healthy, though some cities — such as Philadelphia, Minneapolis and Orlando — are looking at a supply-demand imbalance that will eat into profits. Also, competition from Airbnb and similar home-sharing sites will continue to steal sales this year. Multifamily

Oncoming supply will remain the greatest threat to this sector this year. For the first time since the Great Recession, supply outpaced demand last year, and CBRE expects that will persist well into 2017. With urban infills seeing the greatest concentration of development, major gateway cities like San Francisco and New York are seeing shrinking rents high-end apartment supply. Experts project Class-B and Class-C apartments will be less impacted by the oncoming supply and a safe bet for investors.

-Champaign Williams

Daily Brief January 11, 2017 unsubscribe

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