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Global Warming and the U.S. Presidential Election


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Dear Friends,

I'm pleased to announce a new report: Global Warming and the U.S. Presidential Election. Our latest national survey finds that, with the exception of Ted Cruz voters, most supporters of the Democratic and Republican candidates think global warming is happening (Sanders: 93%, Clinton: 92%, Kasich: 71%, Trump: 56%).
 
By contrast, fewer than half of Ted Cruz supporters—38%—think global warming is happening. Now that Cruz has suspended his campaign—and Trump is the presumptive nominee—it will be interesting to see if Cruz backers decide to support Trump or sit this election out.



Other findings include:
  • Registered voters support a broad array of energy policies, including many designed to reduce carbon pollution and dependence on fossil fuels, and to promote clean energy. The Democratic candidates’ backers are the most likely to strongly or somewhat support such policies, but backers of the Republican candidates do as well, including:
    • Funding more research into renewable energy sources such as solar and wind power (Sanders: 93%, Clinton: 91%, Kasich: 86%, Trump: 76%, Cruz: 64%).
    • Providing tax rebates to people who purchase energy-efficient vehicles or solar panels (Sanders: 94%, Clinton: 92%, Kasich: 80%, Trump: 70%, Cruz: 59%).
  • At least half the supporters of all candidates except Cruz would also support:
    • Regulating carbon dioxide as a pollutant (Clinton: 91%, Sanders: 87%, Kasich: 74%, Trump: 62%, Cruz: 47%).
    • Requiring fossil fuel companies to pay a carbon tax and using the money to reduce other taxes such as income taxes by an equal amount (Sanders: 88%, Clinton: 85%, Kasich: 53%, Trump: 51%, Cruz: 27%).
The report also provides the demographic characteristics of each candidate’s supporters. For example, Clinton supporters are more likely to be African-American, women, Catholics, and Baby Boomers than supporters of the other candidates. Trump supporters are more likely to be white, male, Baby Boomers with a high school education. Cruz supporters were more likely to be southern, older, white, evangelical, men, and very conservative.
 
The report includes lots more fascinating results on how each candidate's backers are similar to and different from one another demographically and on the issue of climate change. 

As always, we hope you find the results helpful. Thanks for your support!

Cheers,

Tony

-----

Anthony Leiserowitz, Ph.D.
Director, Yale Program on Climate Change Communication
School of Forestry & Environmental Studies
Yale University
(203) 432-4865
climatecommunication.yale.edu


               

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